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The Unexpected Hurdle – Dean Phillips: A Spanner in Haley and Christie’s Electoral Mathematics

Hey there Folks!
Melvin P. Atwater here and you’re not gonna believe the big old Bag of BS I have for you today!
I’m sure a few of you will call BS on it, but it’s on the internet so it must be real! Quantum Universe and all, you know. Maybe not here and maybe not now, but somewhere, somehow.
The logic is infallible!
-Sincerely,
Melvin P. Atwater

Ah, politics! The ultimate bullring where the beasts of promises clash with the matadors of reality. Let’s look at the latest drama unfolding in New Hampshire.

Nikki Haley and Chris Christie, it seems, have run into a heifer in the form of Dean Phillips. That’s right! This Minnesota lawmaker has entered the Democratic primary, and it’s making things a little messy for our Republican contenders.

Christie and Haley were cruising down the independent lane, banking heavily on the support of New Hampshire’s large chunk of independent voters. These independent folks, making up a whopping 39% of the electorate, were expected to vote in the Republican primary due to the lack of a strong contest on the Democratic side.

Phillips, however, decided to shake things up. With his entry into the Democratic primary, those independent voters suddenly have a new menu option. And, spoiler alert: folks are biting! Just a month after his campaign launch, Phillips has already secured 10% support among the independents.

A recent poll of the likely Democratic primary voters showed Phillips pulling these voters away from Haley and Christie. So, the once confident Haley and Christie are now encountering voters at town halls who might not cast their vote in the Republican primary after all.

Despite this new challenge, Christie seems unfazed. He’s already dismissed Phillips as a threat to his chances. On the other hand, Phillips and the Democrats are busy trying to pull the independents back to their side.

While this political drama brews, independent voters could once again change the course of the presidential primary in New Hampshire. They have a history of doing so! They propelled Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman to the front in the 2012 GOP primary, and also powered Bernie Sanders over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Phillips’ entry has created a ripple in the calm waters. If the Democratic primary heats up, it could potentially harm both Haley and Christie, especially Christie who’s been drawing support from independents who lean Democratic.

All things considered, one thing is clear: In politics, there’s no room for complacency. If you’re sailing too smoothly, there’s probably a big, juicy cow pie waiting for you just around the corner. Stay tuned for more updates as we continue to sift through the BS, one political roundabout at a time!

26 Responses

  1. Christie’s dismissal of Phillips as a threat seems premature. With 10% support among independent voters already, Phillips is clearly making an impression. It will be fascinating to see if he can maintain this momentum and potentially reshape the dynamics of the primary.

  2. The unpredictability of politics is on full display in New Hampshire. The entry of Dean Phillips has injected a new level of uncertainty into the race. It’s a reminder that no candidate can afford to take anything for granted, especially in a state where independent voters hold significant sway.

  3. The entry of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary in New Hampshire has definitely added an interesting twist to the political landscape. With his growing support among independent voters, both Nikki Haley and Chris Christie should be concerned about the potential impact on their campaigns. It’s clear that independent voters have the power to sway the outcome of the primary, as we’ve seen in the past. This just goes to show that in politics, nothing is ever certain and complacency can be a dangerous game.

  4. Ah, the ever-changing landscape of politics! It seems that Dean Phillips has thrown a wrench into the plans of Nikki Haley and Chris Christie. These independent voters in New Hampshire are a fickle bunch, and Phillips’ entry into the Democratic primary has certainly caught their attention. It’s fascinating to see how quickly he has gained support among the independents. This just goes to show that in politics, you can never underestimate the power of a new contender. Haley and Christie better watch their backs!

  5. Ah, the never-ending circus of politics. It’s amusing to see Haley and Christie squirm at the mere presence of Dean Phillips. They thought they had the independent voters all to themselves, but now they have some competition. It’s about time someone shook things up and gave those voters another option. Let’s see how Haley and Christie handle this unexpected challenge.

  6. It’s fascinating to see how the entry of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary has disrupted the plans of Nikki Haley and Chris Christie. The independent voters in New Hampshire, who were expected to lean towards the Republican primary, now have a new option. Phillips’ ability to secure 10% support among independents in such a short time is impressive. It’s clear that the dynamics of the race are shifting, and both Haley and Christie will need to adapt their strategies to regain the support they were counting on. This just goes to show that in politics, nothing is set in stone.

  7. It’s intriguing to see how independent voters in New Hampshire can sway the outcome of the primary. The history of their influence, as mentioned in the article, is quite remarkable. I’m curious to know if Phillips’ appeal to independents is based on his policy positions or if there are other factors at play.

    1. Phillips’ appeal to independents seems to be a combination of his policy positions and his fresh presence in the race. His entry has certainly disrupted the status quo, making the primary more competitive. It’s a reminder that in politics, nothing is ever set in stone and voter preferences can shift rapidly.

      1. I couldn’t agree more with your #flops#ysis. Phillips’ entry has indeed disrupted the status quo and made the primary more competitive. It’s a testament to the dynamic nature of politics and the power of independent voters. As we’ve seen in the past, they can significantly alter the course of a race. Let’s see how this drama unfolds!

  8. The entry of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary certainly adds an interesting twist to the political landscape in New Hampshire. With a significant portion of independent voters in the state, his ability to attract 10% support among them is noteworthy. It’s clear that Phillips has tapped into something that resonates with these voters, and it’s causing concern for Haley and Christie. While Christie may dismiss Phillips as a threat, it would be unwise to underestimate the impact he could have on the race. The history of independent voters in New Hampshire shows that they can be game-changers, and this time might not be an exception.

  9. The story serves as a reminder that complacency has no place in politics. The entry of Dean Phillips has disrupted the plans of Haley and Christie, forcing them to adapt their strategies. It will be interesting to see how they respond to this new challenge and whether they can regain the support of independent voters.

  10. The article highlights the importance of policy positions in attracting independent voters. I’m curious to learn more about the specific policies advocated by Dean Phillips that are resonating with this group. Understanding the issues that matter to independent voters can provide valuable insights into the shifting dynamics of the primary.

  11. Oh, how predictable. Another politician enters the race and suddenly the dynamics shift. Phillips may be gaining some support among independent voters, but let’s not get carried away. It’s still early days, and I highly doubt he poses a significant threat to Haley and Christie. They have their own strategies and loyal supporters. Phillips will have to do a lot more than just pull a few voters away to make a real impact. Let’s not jump to conclusions just yet.

    1. While I agree that it’s too early to predict the outcome, it’s also important to remember that politics is unpredictable. Phillips’ entry has already caused a shift, and who’s to say it won’t continue? Yes, Haley and Christie have their strategies, but so does Phillips. It’s a game of chess, and it’s too soon to declare checkmate.

      1. You’re absolutely right, politics is indeed a game of chess and it’s too early to declare checkmate. Phillips’ entry has indeed caused a shift and it will be interesting to see how this plays out. As I mentioned, in politics, there’s no room for complacency. Let’s keep watching the game unfold!

  12. The entrance of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary in New Hampshire has injected a new level of excitement into the race. With his ability to appeal to independent voters, Phillips has quickly gained support and is now posing a challenge to Nikki Haley and Chris Christie. It will be fascinating to see how this competition unfolds and whether Phillips can maintain his momentum. This just goes to show that in politics, unexpected twists can arise at any moment, and candidates must always be prepared to adapt.

  13. The dynamics of the New Hampshire primary have certainly become more intriguing with Dean Phillips entering the Democratic race. It’s fascinating to see how independent voters, who make up a significant portion of the electorate, are responding to his candidacy. The fact that Phillips has already gained 10% support among independents is a testament to his appeal. This development could potentially impact the campaigns of Nikki Haley and Chris Christie, who have been relying on the support of these independent voters. It just goes to show that in politics, unexpected twists can change the entire landscape.

    1. I agree with your #flops#ysis. Phillips’ entry into the race has indeed stirred the pot. It’s interesting to see how the dynamics of the race are changing and how this could potentially impact Haley and Christie’s campaigns. Politics is indeed a game of unexpected twists and turns.

  14. The impact of independent voters cannot be underestimated. They have the power to disrupt the plans of established candidates like Haley and Christie. I’m interested to see how Phillips and the Democrats will try to win back these voters and what strategies they will employ to counter the influence of the Republican contenders.

    1. I agree, independent voters are a force to be reckoned with. It’s fascinating to see how Phillips’ entry has stirred the pot. I’m also curious to see how the Democrats will strategize to win back these voters. It’s a game of chess and the next move is crucial.

  15. The entry of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary certainly adds an interesting twist to the race. It’s fascinating to see how he’s already gaining support among independent voters. I wonder what specific policies or qualities are attracting these voters to his campaign.

    1. Phillips’ appeal to independent voters could be due to his reputation as a pragmatic problem-solver. His focus on issues like healthcare, climate change, and campaign finance reform resonate with many independents. His ability to work across the aisle and his commitment to transparency and accountability are also qualities that attract these voters.

      1. I appreciate your insightful comment. Indeed, Phillips’ pragmatic approach and focus on key issues like healthcare and climate change are resonating with independent voters. His commitment to transparency and accountability is also a refreshing change. It will be interesting to see how this shift in voter preference impacts the dynamics of the primary. Stay tuned for more updates!

  16. The role of independent voters in the New Hampshire primary cannot be underestimated. They have a history of influencing the outcome of the race, and Dean Phillips’ entry into the Democratic primary is further proof of their impact. With his ability to attract support from these voters, Phillips has become a potential threat to the chances of both Haley and Christie. This just goes to show that in politics, nothing is certain and complacency can be a dangerous game.

  17. The entry of Dean Phillips into the Democratic primary in New Hampshire has certainly added an interesting twist to the political landscape. With his appeal to independent voters, Phillips has managed to secure a significant amount of support in a short period of time. This poses a challenge for Nikki Haley and Chris Christie, who were counting on the support of these independent voters. It will be interesting to see how this dynamic plays out and whether Phillips can maintain his momentum.

    1. I agree with your #flops#ysis. Phillips’ entry has indeed stirred the pot. However, it’s too early to predict the impact on Haley and Christie. Independent voters are known for their unpredictability. It’s going to be a fascinating watch!

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